This randomized “natural experiment” of the Vietnam draft lottery has been used in several studies to sort out the unique experience of the Vietnam-era cohort. As the first to deploy this novel estimation strategy, Hearst et al. documented the short-term consequences of Vietnam military service on subsequent mortality risk. However, these results represent not a local average treatment effect , but rather an intent-to-treat effect because actual veteran status was not observed. Later work by Angrist built on this by using draft eligibility as an instrumental variable for military service to study income and earnings for male veterans, thereby estimating a LATE for Vietnam-era military service. Angrist’s study showed that white veterans experienced a 15% drop in lifetime earnings compared with similar white nonveterans, while nonwhites faced no wage penalty as a result of military service.
For the first time in over twenty-seven years, a national draft lottery was being held. Congressman Alexander Pirnie, ranking Republican of the House Armed Services Committee, drew the first number. “September 14th… September 14th is 001.” Pirnie had selected one of 366 capsules from a large bowl. Each capsule contained a day of the year , and was pulled at random and given a corresponding number. Those with birthdays corresponding with low numbers were faced with the imminent prospect of being drafted into the army and sent overseas to fight in Vietnam. I did not want to be drafted.” Though Joel didn’t face the immediate possibility of being drafted that night in December 1969, it was a distinct possibility on the horizon that couldn’t be ignored.
By the time number 300 was drawn I was convinced I was going to war. By number 350 I had accepted my fate; I had to be one of the first 20 numbers I had missed. For Russo, a little luck on the day of the draft lottery set him on a course many others didn’t get to travel.
I bought a ticket three days in a row but I did not win anything. On the other five winning tickets, he chose the immediate cash payout option of $390,000. If you have shared the Private URL with others they will no longer be able to use it to access your unpublished dataset.
Anchorage School District website accessibility and nondiscrimination notice. The Anchorage School District is an equal opportunity provider. Current ASD parents can access the lottery system by navigating to the log in screen and entering your Q ParentConnect ID and Password. Lotteries are held two times each year; during the spring and fall.
Wes Abney was subject to the first draft lottery of the Vietnam era in 1969. Having escaped the draft by virtue of a high lottery number, he completed a Bachelor of Arts degree at UNC-Chapel Hill, and then obtained a Juris Doctor from the UNC School of Law. After serving a year as a VISTA volunteer, he practiced civil law as a legal aid attorney for about 15 years, then with a small firm in North Carolina until retiring in 2014. He started a website in 2008 concerning the personal and social effects of the military draft in the Vietnam era, which has thus far collected over 800 stories of men whose lives were changed by the threat of the draft. Since 2008 he has studied relevant books, articles, records, statistical studies and other sources concerning the military draft system of 1965 through 1973.
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